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Despite claims by some politicians, crime rates are falling – Longmont Times-Call

(Dreamstime/TNS)

Amanda Hers | (TNS) Stateline.org

According to the FBI’s Quarterly Uniform Crime Report released in June, violent crime in the United States fell significantly in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period last year.

FBI data, collected from nearly 12,000 law enforcement agencies representing about 77% of the country’s population, suggests violent crime is down 15% compared to the first quarter of 2023.

The data, which covers crimes reported from January to March, show a 26.4% decrease in murders, 25.7% in rapes, 17.8% in robberies and 12.5% ​​in aggravated assaults. The number of reported property crimes also decreased by 15.1%.

Still, the widespread public perception that crime is on the rise — a perception reinforced by likely Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and many other GOP candidates — could play an important role in the November election. And candidates for state legislatures and governorships from both parties are also likely to use crime statistics on the campaign trail.

In a Gallup poll conducted late last year, 63 percent of respondents described the crime problem in the United States as extremely or very serious, the highest percentage since Gallup first asked the question in 2000.

In May, Trump falsely labeled FBI data showing a decline in crime as “fake numbers.” In June, he falsely claimed that 30 percent of cities, including the “largest and most violent,” were not included in FBI crime statistics.

He may have been referring to the fact that some departments were unable to report data in 2021 because the FBI changed the data reporting system. However, experts say the totals remain valid.